What IS THreatCASTING?
The rapidly evolving global technological and information landscape demands a proactive approach to assessing potential threats and opportunities to address them.
Threatcasting is a conceptual framework used to help multidisciplinary groups envision future scenarios. It is also a process that enables systematic planning against threats sometime in the next 10 years.
Utilizing the Threatcasting process, groups explore future threats and how to transform the future they desire into reality while avoiding undesired futures.
Threatcasting is a continuous, multi-step process with inputs from social science, technical research, cultural history, economics, trends, expert interviews, and science fiction storytelling. These inputs inform the rich exploration of potential visions of the future, underpinned by high degrees of technical and operational accuracy.
PHAEDRUS
THREATCASTING
Phaedrus uses Threatcasting to examine concepts and provide decision-grade products that aid our clients as they develop new capabilities, plan future missions, and conceptualize evolving force structures across an ever-increasingly turbulent technological world.
We Only Have One Home
Wardens of
Looming Futures
RECENT EVENTS
#Connexions24
Extreme in the Mainstream:
Information Disorder, (Dis)engagement, & Digital (R)evolution
"#Connexions is dedicated to developing informed and expert leadership for the networked information age. To that end, our annual conference targets thought leaders, practitioners, and critical thinkers who are at the frontlines of information warfare in the broadest sense of the term, be it in education, media, government, healthcare, or business."
Workshop Generated Science Fiction Prototype
THREATCASTING REPORTS
THREATCASTING IN THE NEWS
Mastercard Fusion Center Threatcasting 2024
9: From Bullets to Belief: The Power of Storytelling Through Sci-Fi Prototypes
#14 BDJ on Threatcasting
FOUNDERS OF THREATCASTING
Brian David Johnson "BDJ"
Phaedrus Senior Fellow
Futurist
Brian David Johnson is the inventor of the Threatcasting Methodology. As an applied futurist he has worked with organizations for over twenty years to develop an actionable 10 -15 year vision and what it will feel like to live in the future. He works with governments, trade organizations, start-ups, and multinational corporations to not only help envision their future but specify the steps needed to get there. Johnson is currently a Senior Fellow at Phaedrus as well as the futurist in residence at Arizona State University's Center for Science and the Imagination, a professor in the School for the Future of Innovation in Society and the Director of the ASU Threatcasting Lab.
Johnson speaks and writes extensively in ongoing columns for IEEE Computer Magazine and Successful Farming where he is the "Farm Futurist”. He has contributed articles to publications like The Wall Street Journal, Slate, and Wired Magazine. Johnson holds over 40 patents and is the best-selling author of both science fiction and fact books (A Threatcasting Textbook [Springer Nature], The Future You [Harper], WaR: Wizards and Robots [Penguin], and 21st Century Robot [Make]). He was appointed first futurist ever at the Intel Corporation in 2009 where he worked for over a decade helping to design over 2 billion microprocessors. Johnson appears regularly on the BBC, Bloomberg TV, PBS, FOX News, and the Discovery Channel and has been featured in Scientific American, The Technology Review, Forbes, INC, and Popular Science. He has directed two feature films and is an illustrator and commissioned painter. In 2016 Samuel Goldwyn released "Vintage Tomorrows” a documentary based upon Johnson's book of the same name.